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    <identifier>opus4.bicc:14978</identifier>
    <datestamp>2025-04-05</datestamp>
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                        <creator>
                            <creatorName>
                                Zeynep Şahin-Mencütek
                            </creatorName>
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                        <creator>
                            <creatorName>
                                Soner Barthoma
                            </creatorName>
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                <titles>
                    <title>Why the EU’s Migrant &#039;Return Hubs&#039; Are Doomed to Fail</title>
                                    </titles>
                <publisher>The European Consortium for Political Research</publisher>
                <publicationYear>2025</publicationYear>

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                    <description xml:lang="/SystemData/Languages/English" descriptionType="Abstract">On 11 March 2025, the European Commission introduced a new proposal for establishing a&amp;nbsp;common system for the return of third-country nationals staying illegally in the European Union. This legislation-in-progress is an outcome of political pressure on the Commission, following the 17 member states&#039; submission of a non-paper to the Commission calling for a new proposal to achieve ‘more effective returns’ and innovative solutions.&amp;nbsp;

A contentious element of this proposal is the creation, through bilateral agreements, of so-called &#039;return hubs&#039; outside the EU. The idea is that migrants are transferred to third-country holding areas before a country, or Frontex, deports them.&amp;nbsp;

The European Commission proposal notes that states can only reach agreement with a third country if that country adheres to international human rights standards, including&amp;nbsp;non-refoulement. The agreements should outline transfer modalities and conditions for the third-country nationals&#039; short- or long-term stay. They should also include a monitoring mechanism to evaluate implementation and address any changes in the third country&#039;s circumstances.&amp;nbsp;

But enforcing these return hubs is likely to prove problematic. First, monitoring difficulties mean that there is a heightened risk of human rights violations. Second, some countries have already tried — unsuccessfully — to externalise asylum processing and detention systems. Finally, there is likely to be a significant gap between the high costs of the scheme and its low effectiveness in deterring irregular migration and ensuring individuals’ compliance with return orders.&amp;nbsp;

Read the full commentary&amp;nbsp;here.
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