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    <identifier>opus4.bicc:14602</identifier>
    <datestamp>2024-08-14</datestamp>
    <setSpec>doc-type:BICC report</setSpec>
    
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                                    <identifier identifierType="DOI">https://doi.org/10.60638/hdc7-7360</identifier>
                
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                        <creator>
                            <creatorName>
                                Herbert Wulf
                            </creatorName>
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                <titles>
                    <title>Indo–Chinese Relations: On a Collision Course</title>
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                <publisher>bicc</publisher>
                <publicationYear>2024</publicationYear>

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                    <description xml:lang="/SystemData/Languages/English" descriptionType="Abstract">A dangerous competition is taking place between China and&amp;nbsp;India. Four primary contentious issues and protracted conflicts&amp;nbsp;dominate today’s competitive and uncooperative relations&amp;nbsp;between India and China: unresolved territorial conflicts in the&amp;nbsp;Himalayas, China’s close relations with Pakistan and its military&amp;nbsp;assistance, China’s activities in the Indian Ocean, especially&amp;nbsp;the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the New Silk Road, and both&amp;nbsp;countries’ far-reaching and competitive global ambitions.&amp;nbsp;

The two countries are engaged in fierce competition, and the&amp;nbsp;present trend indicates that they are on a collision course.&amp;nbsp;Could this course lead to war? The relationship was not always&amp;nbsp;so problematic, but the times of brotherly relations are long&amp;nbsp;gone. China cooperates with India in some forums but has&amp;nbsp;consistently opposed India’s aspiration to become a permanent member of the UN Security Council. China’s current drive for expansion, coupled with its forceful and&amp;nbsp;assertive foreign policy approach makes it a difficult partner. The&amp;nbsp;growing military power of China represents a challenge to India,&amp;nbsp;although India also invests heavily in its armed forces, including&amp;nbsp;nuclear weapons. India is an attractive strategic partner in the&amp;nbsp;global confrontation between the West and China. However,&amp;nbsp;India’s democracy is under threat, and its government does not&amp;nbsp;simply want to join the Western camp. It pursues a policy of multiple alliances, which is consistent with India’s traditional policy&amp;nbsp;of non-alignment. Both countries pursue a geopolitical strategy&amp;nbsp;in Asia, and their global aspirations and visions are at odds with&amp;nbsp;each other. This puts them on a potential collision course.

To manage this crisis, both governments should seek to deescalate by promoting regular communications and refrain from&amp;nbsp;further increasing their armed forces and reinforcing their military infrastructure, particularly in the contested territories.

&amp;nbsp;
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